Fortunate son: The new crown prince shows Saudi direction

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The king of Saudi Arabia on Wednesday changed his successor. King Salman, 81, named his son, Mohammed bin Salman, 31, previously minister of defense, as crown prince and deputy prime minister. The son replaced the king’s nephew, Mohammed bin Nayef, 57, who had been deputy prime minister and minister of the interior as well as crown prince.

The king of Saudi Arabia on Wednesday changed his successor. King Salman, 81, named his son, Mohammed bin Salman, 31, previously minister of defense, as crown prince and deputy prime minister. The son replaced the king’s nephew, Mohammed bin Nayef, 57, who had been deputy prime minister and minister of the interior as well as crown prince.

No reason was given. It could have been health, or some scandal, just plain nepotism or a result of intra-family maneuvering. Saud family rule requires no explanation to be given for such moves. There is no indication that the change comes in any way as a result of the visit of President Donald Trump to the kingdom last month.

There are nonetheless U.S. policy implications. The change points up again the irony of close American relations with a country whose form of government in its utter lack of democratic character or even semblance of representative rule is so unlike ours. The United States has had for many years important relations with Saudi Arabia in the domain of petroleum. U.S. firms play an important role in the economy of Saudi Arabia, which relies almost entirely on its petroleum production for revenue. The new crown prince is known to be seeking to diversify the Saudi economy away from oil.

The second role of the United States in which close coordination with Saudi Arabia has been a consistent theme is defense, and, particularly, arms sales. The complicating factor in those sales is that it ties America to any Saudi war-making that its rulers determine to undertake.

One particularly disastrous example of this is the war Saudi Arabia and its Persian Gulf client states have been waging in bordering Yemen for two years. That conflict is in effect a proxy war between Sunni Islamic Saudi Arabia and Shiite Islamic Iran for pre-eminence in the region. One major problem with the Yemen war is that it has reduced that country, with a population of 27 million, to ruin, including hunger and disease, most recently cholera.

The latest quarrel the Saudis have picked is with Qatar, over its sometimes independent policy positions. That conflict is complicated greatly for the United States by the fact of a large American military presence in the emirate as well as American educational institutions and many businesses.

The new crown prince, as minister of defense, was known as a strong advocate of a more aggressive Saudi role in the Middle East’s many wars. It will be interesting to see what changes he will make in his new role. Unfortunately for the United States, policy changes that will involve America will not be made with reference to even a glance at Saudi popular support, not to mention best interests determined in any democratic fashion. If the past is any indication, U.S. support of Saudi undertakings will be assumed and received.

— Pittsburgh Post-Gazette