Historic win gives Mexico’s Sheinbaum a landslide, spooks markets

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Claudia Sheinbaum, the presidential candidate of the ruling MORENA party, reacts as she addresses her supporters after winning the election, in Mexico City, Mexico June 3, 2024. REUTERS/Raquel Cunha
A young girl with the name of Claudia Sheinbaum, a climate scientist and former mayor of Mexico City, on her face attends Sheinbaum’s election night event in Mexico City, on Sunday, June 2, 2024. Sheinbaum won her nation’s elections on Sunday in a landslide victory that brought a double milestone: She became the first woman, and the first Jewish person, to be elected president of Mexico. (Fred Ramos/The New York Times)
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MEXICO CITY — Claudia Sheinbaum, a climate scientist and protege of Mexico’s popular outgoing president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, won a landslide to become the country’s first female leader, though the scale of her victory sparked jitters in the markets.

Former Mexico City mayor Sheinbaum, 61, won the highest vote percentage in the history of Mexico’s democracy, according to preliminary results from the electoral authority. She secured 58.8% of the votes with 82% of the ballots counted.

In her victory speech on Sunday night, Sheinbaum, a physicist who was part of a United Nations panel of climate scientists that received a Nobel Peace Prize in 2007, thanked Lopez Obrador, calling him “an exceptional, unique man who has transformed Mexico for the better.”

The victory is seen as a major step for Mexico, a country known for its macho culture and home to the world’s second-biggest Roman Catholic population. She is the first woman to win a general election in North America, comprising the United States, Mexico and Canada.

But her party’s win was so large that markets fell on concerns that the ruling coalition could secure a congressional super-majority, allowing them to pass controversial constitutional reforms such as in the energy sector unchecked.

“It was precisely one of the scenarios that investors do not like,” Jacobo Rodriguez, an analyst at Roga Capital.

By 11.30am local time (1330 ET) on Monday, Mexico’s peso had lost about 3.4% against the dollar while the stock market was down 5%. [L8N3I11J8]

Luis Maria Alcalde, interior minister in Lopez Obrador’s cabinet, said the Morena party’s ruling coalition won a super-majority in the lower house of Congress but will be a few seats short in the Senate.

Though if the coalition needs only a few opposition senators to bring about constitutional changes, such reforms are not unfeasible.