Ukraine gets long-term German and French security guarantees

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, right, and Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands after their press conference at the Chancellery, on Feb. 16, 2024, in Berlin. Zelenskyy signed a security deal with Germany on Feb. 16, 2024, hailed by Scholz as a "historic step" amid Kyiv's raging battles against Russia. (John MacDougall/AFP via Getty Images/TNS)

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy signed separate long-term security deals with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron as Ukraine’s worsening artillery shortage threatens to force a further rationing of shells.

The agreements sealed Friday in Berlin and Paris are designed to deter Russia from future aggression against its western neighbor after the current war ends. They’re part of an initiative launched by the Group of Seven nations last year and Zelenskyy agreed a similar accord with the United Kingdom last month.

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Hosting Zelenskyy at the chancellery, Scholz also announced a new package of air-defense and artillery systems for Ukraine worth about 1.1 billion euros ($1.2 billion). Macron pledged additional assistance worth as much as 3 billion euros for this year at a joint news conference with the Ukrainian leader later on Friday.

“Our determination is as strong as it was on day one,” Macron told reporters after the signing ceremony at the Elysee Palace, adding that he’ll visit Ukraine before mid-March.

Scholz said the German security accord — the first time it has taken on the role of a guarantor state — and the latest military aid send “a crystal clear message” to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

“We will not back down in our support for Ukraine,” he added. Zelenskyy said Germany’s latest shipment of arms — particularly the artillery — would start to reach the front “very soon.”

“Unfortunately we have a tangible decline in supplies from partners and German support in this situation is vitally important for Ukraine and our soldiers,” he said.

Zelenskyy is on the first leg of his latest trip to shore up support for Ukraine’s defense against Russia’s invasion. He’ll now travel back to Germany for the Munich Security Conference, where he’ll hold a series of bilateral meetings with global leaders.

Zelenskyy and his military commanders have blamed the failure of last year’s counteroffensive on a dearth of sufficient materiel from Western allies.

Ukraine’s lack of artillery capability could become so critical in the next two to three months that the country may have to decide where to focus a narrower effort along the war front, according to people familiar with the matter.

That could open the door to Russian advances later this year. Ukraine is effectively already having to ration its artillery as allied ammunition supplies have fallen short. Bloomberg reported last month that Kyiv told its allies that it was facing a critical shortage and was outgunned by Russia three-to-one.

Additional U.S. assistance remains deadlocked in Congress amid a domestic fight over immigration and border policy. Although the U.S. Senate this week approved funding, the legislation faces considerable obstacles in the Republican-controlled House.

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